The 2024 elections may feel far off, but in Colorado’s most contested House districts, they’re already looming

by Caitlyn Kim at cpr.org

The next federal election is more than 20 months away, but behind the scenes, political forces are already gearing up for Colorado to be back in the national spotlight. 

The state’s two marquee races in 2024 will be Republican Lauren Boebert in congressional district 3 and Democrat Yadira Caraveo in congressional district 8, both of whom won by extremely slender margins.

Last year, Caraveo beat Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer by 0.7 percent of the vote in the toss-up seat. Boebert won against her Democratic rival, Adam Frisch, by 0.2 percent of the vote in a race that on paper favored Republicans by +9, according to the state’s independent redistricting commission.

Those close calls have candidates and parties already eyeing both seats, especially given control of the House and Senate will be at stake in 2024. But there are also key differences between the two contests.

The toss-up seat

In many ways, CO-8, the state’s newest district, is the traditional competitive seat. It was designed to be a toss-up, a slice of the state that only barely went for Republican Donald Trump in 2016 and just barely went for Democratic Sen. John Hickenlooper in 2020. Democrats slightly edge out Republicans in voter registration, but the largest block of voters are unaffiliated. It also has the largest proportion of Latino residents in the state.

There was a lot of investment in the 2022 race by both parties on the state and national level in the last cycle, and that is expected to happen again in ‘24.