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Would You Bet Your Future On A Weather Forecast?

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Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast? | Watts Up With That?

UN climate forecasts are consistently high … consistently wrong … and used to drive policy Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball and Tom Harris Dr. Thomas Sowell, Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, summarized the problem the world faces with climate change policy: “Would you bet your paycheck on the weather forecast for tomorrow?…

 "There is no more common error than to assume that, because prolonged and accurate mathematical calculations have been made, the application of the result to some fact of nature is absolutely certain."

The IPCC defends its long-term climate forecasts by maintaining that a weather forecast is different from a climate forecast. But climate is an average of the weather, andone cannot generate accurate results by averaging inaccurate ones.

Thus, starting in 1990, the IPCC stopped making forecasts – because they were never right. Instead they began publishing a range of "projections." Yet, they too were hopelessly at odds with what actually happened in the real world. Worse, the news media, climate activists, politicians and regulators treat the "projections" as predictions, or forecasts, for purposes of stirring up public anxiety and trying to justify draconian anti-fossil fuel policies.

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